Qualitative and Quantitative Disclosures About
Market Risk
Our principal interest rate exposure relates to
the term loans outstanding under our new senior credit
facilities. We have $200.0 million of term loans
outstanding, bearing interest at a variable rate, based on an
adjusted LIBOR rate plus an applicable interest margin or the
base rate plus an applicable interest margin. Each quarter point
increase or decrease in the interest rate on the term loans
would change our interest expense by approximately
$0.5 million per year. We also have a new revolving credit
facility which will provide for borrowings of up to
$55.0 million, which will also bear interest at variable
rates in the same manner as the term loan facilities. Assuming
the new revolving credit facility is fully drawn, each quarter
point increase or decrease in the applicable interest rate would
change our interest expense by approximately $0.1 million
per year. We are also party to several municipal loan
agreements, some of which accrue interest at a variable rate.
The aggregate net amount of principal outstanding on the
municipal loans that is subject to a variable rate of interest
is $23.7 million, as of April 3, 2004. Each quarter
point increase or decrease in the interest rate on the municipal
loans subject to variable rates of interest would change our
interest expense by approximately $0.1 million per year. In
the future we may enter into interest rate swaps, involving
exchange of floating or fixed rate interest payments, to reduce
our exposure to interest rate volatility.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
SFAS No. 143, Accounting for
Asset Retirement Obligations (SFAS No.
143) addresses financial accounting and reporting for
obligations associated with the retirement of tangible
long-lived assets and the associated asset retirement costs.
SFAS No. 143 requires that the fair value of a
liability for an asset retirement obligation be recognized in
the period in which it is incurred if a reasonable estimate of
fair value can be made. The associated asset retirement costs
are capitalized as part of the carrying amount of the long-lived
asset. SFAS No. 143 is effective for financial
statements issued for fiscal years beginning after June 15,
2002 with early adoption permitted. We adopted
SFAS No. 143 on January 1, 2003. Adoption of this
accounting standard was not material to our financial statements
included elsewhere herein.
SFAS No. 145, Rescission of FASB
Statements No. 4, 44 and 64, Amendment of FASB Statement
No. 13 and Technical Corrections
(SFAS No. 145), was issued in April 2002
and addresses the reporting of gains and losses resulting from
the extinguishment of debt, accounting for sale-leaseback
transactions and rescinds or amends other existing authoritative
pronouncements. SFAS No. 145 requires that any gain or
loss on extinguishment of debt that does not meet the criteria
of APB 30 for classification as an extraordinary item shall
not be classified as extraordinary and shall be included in
earnings from continuing operations. The provisions of this
statement related to the extinguishment of debt are effective
for financial statements issued in fiscal years beginning after
May 15, 2002 with early application encouraged. We adopted
SFAS No. 145 on January 1, 2003 and adoption of
this accounting standard was not material to the results
presented in the financial statements included elsewhere herein.
Effective January 1, 2003, we adopted
SFAS No. 146, Accounting for Costs Associated
with Exit of Disposal Activities
(SFAS No. 146), which addresses the
accounting and reporting for costs associated with exit or
disposal activities, nullifies Emerging Issues Task Force
(EITF) Issue No. 94-3, Liability
Recognition for Certain Employee Termination Benefits and Other
Costs to Exit an Activity (including Certain Costs Incurred in a
Restructuring) (EITF 94-3) and
substantially nullifies EITF Issue No. 88-10, Costs
Associated with Lease Modification or Termination
(EITF 88-10). SFAS No. 146 requires that a
liability for a cost associated with an exit or disposal
activity be recognized when the liability is incurred. Under
EITF 94-3, a liability for an exit cost as defined in
EITF 94-3 was recognized at the date of an entitys
commitment to an exit plan. The provisions of SFAS No. 146
are effective for exit or disposal activities that are initiated
after December 31, 2002. The adoption of
SFAS No. 146 did not have a material effect on our
financial statements included elsewhere herein.
In the fourth quarter 2003, we adopted the fair
value method of accounting for stock-based compensation in
accordance with SFAS No. 123. We adopted
SFAS No. 123 using the prospective method of
transition in accordance with SFAS No. 148,
Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation
Transaction and Disclosure
(SFAS No. 148). The prospective method
under SFAS No. 148 required us to adopt
SFAS No. 123
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effective January 1, 2003 for all stock
options issued during 2003. Prior to January 1, 2003, we
accounted for options granted to employees using the intrinsic
value method pursuant to the provisions of APB 25, under
which no compensation cost was recognized since the options were
granted with exercise prices equal to the fair market value of
the common stock at the date of grant. The adoption of this
accounting standard was not material to the results presented in
the financial statements included elsewhere herein. Following
the consummation of the Transactions on February 12, 2004,
we have accounted for options granted to employees using the
intrinsic value method pursuant to the provisions of APB 25.
In November 2002, the FASB issued Interpretation
No. 45, Guarantors Accounting and Disclosure
Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees
of Indebtedness of Others (FIN 45). Along
with new disclosure requirements, FIN 45 requires
guarantors to recognize, at the inception of certain guarantees,
a liability for the fair value of the obligation undertaken in
issuing the guarantee. This differs from the prior practice to
record a liability only when a loss is probable and reasonably
estimable. The recognition and measurement provisions of
FIN 45 are applicable on a prospective basis to guarantees
issued or modified after December 31, 2002. We adopted the
disclosure provisions of FIN 45 as of December 31,
2002 and adopted the entire interpretation on January 1,
2003. Adoption of FIN 45 was not material to our financial
statements included elsewhere herein.
In January 2003, the FASB issued Interpretation
No. 46, Consolidation of Variable Interest
Entities an interpretation of ARB No. 51
(FIN 46). FIN 46 clarifies the application
of ARB No. 51, Consolidated Financial
Statements, to certain entities in which equity investors
do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial
interest or do not have sufficient equity at risk for the entity
to finance its activities without additional subordinated
financial support from other parties. The consolidation
requirements of FIN 46 apply to us immediately for variable
interest entities created after January 31, 2003 and for
existing variable interest entities no later than the end of the
first annual reporting period beginning after December 15,
2003. We do not expect any material impact on our financial
statements as a result.
In April 2003, the FASB issued
SFAS No. 149, Amendment of Statement 133 on
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities
(SFAS No. 149), which clarifies the
financial accounting and reporting proscribed by
SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative
Instruments and Hedging Activities
(SFAS No. 133) for derivative instruments,
including certain derivative instruments embedded in other
contracts. Certain provisions of SFAS No. 149 related
to implementation issues of SFAS No. 133 are already
effective and other provisions related to forward purchases or
sales are effective for both existing contracts and new
contracts entered into after June 30, 2003. We had
previously adopted SFAS No. 133, including the
implementation issues addressed in SFAS No. 149, and
the adoption of the new provisions of SFAS No. 149 on
July 1, 2003 did not have a material impact on our
financial statements included elsewhere herein.
In May 2003, the FASB issued
SFAS No. 150, Accounting for Certain Financial
Instruments with Characteristics of Both Liabilities and
Equity (SFAS No. 150), which
addresses the accounting and reporting for the classification
and measurement of certain financial instruments with
characteristics of both liabilities and equity.
SFAS No. 150 is effective for all financial
instruments entered into or modified after May 31, 2003 and
for all existing financial instruments beginning in the first
interim period after June 15, 2003, except for mandatorily
redeemable financial instruments of nonpublic entities. We
adopted SFAS No. 150 on July 1, 2003. Adoption of this
accounting standard did not have a material impact on our
financial statements included elsewhere herein.
In December 2003, the FASB issued the revised
SFAS No. 132, Employers Disclosures about
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefits
(SFAS No. 132) to require additional
disclosures to those in the original SFAS No. 132
about the assets, obligations, cash flows and net periodic
benefit cost of defined benefit pension plans and other defined
benefit postretirement plans. The revised SFAS No. 132
provides only for additional disclosures and does not change the
accounting for pension and postretirement plans.
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW AND TRENDS
We estimate the total size of the residential
exterior building products sectors in which we compete in the
U.S. to be approximately $31.0 billion. Demand for
exterior building products, including siding and accessories,
windows and doors, and fencing, railing and decking, is
primarily driven by repair and remodeling of existing homes and
construction of new homes, which are affected by changes in
national and local economic and demographic conditions,
employment levels, availability of financing, interest rates,
consumer confidence and other factors.
Home Repair and Remodeling
Since the early 1990s, demand for home repair and
remodeling has remained robust as a result of strong economic
growth, low interest rates and favorable demographic trends.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, expenditures for
maintenance, repairs and improvements increased from
$120.0 billion in 1992 to $138.3 billion in 1997 and
$175.7 billion in 2002, representing a five and ten-year
compound annual growth rate of 2.9% and 3.9%, respectively.
Leading drivers of home repair and remodeling
expenditures include the age and size of the housing stock, the
rate of existing home sales, home size and homeownership rates.
According to the Census Bureau, the median age of the
U.S. housing stock increased to approximately 29 years
in 2000, up 16% from 25 years in 1990. Additionally, over
the past fifteen years, the size of a typical new home has
increased, with the current average of over 2,300 square
feet. Home ownership has also been rising steadily over the past
decade from 64.4% in 1992 to 68.3% in 2002.
New Home Construction
New home construction has experienced strong
growth since the early 1990s. Since 1991, housing starts have
increased at a compound annual growth rate of 4.9%. With steady
growth in new housing starts, the stock of U.S. housing has
also increased from approximately 107.0 million at the end
of 1991 to 119.9 million at the end of 2002. Mortgage
rates, another key driver of home sales and general home
improvement work, are currently near 30-year lows. Growth
continues to be supported by a favorable interest rate
environment and strong demographic trends, as increasing
immigration drives demand for starter homes, and maturing baby
boomers seek second homes and trade-up properties.
Industry Trends
Vinyl has taken share and continues to take share
from certain alternative materials within exterior residential
building products due to its low maintenance, high durability,
high performance, ease of installation, energy efficiency, lower
price and superior aesthetics.
U.S. siding sales have grown steadily over
the past fifteen years, reaching an estimated $8.2 billion
in 2002. Vinyl currently represents approximately 45% of
U.S. residential siding sales by volume. According to the
Freedonia Group, vinyl is expected to grow to approximately 47%
of residential siding sales by volume by 2007. Vinyl siding has
grown to represent nearly two-thirds of home repair and
remodeling siding sales by volume, and has more than tripled
sales by volume to account for approximately 30% of siding used
in new home construction between 1992 and 2002.
The growing demand for vinyl siding is driven by
several factors relating to product characteristics and
application benefits that provide advantages relative to
alternative siding materials. Vinyls advantages include
low installed cost, high durability, low maintenance, ease of
installation, and resistance to rot, mildew and insect
infestations. Consumer demand for product style and diversity
will support growing demand for accessories and accents such as
shakes, scallops and finish trims.
While manufactured housing currently represents
only 5% of vinyl siding applications, vinyl is well positioned
to benefit from an expected rebound in shipments of manufactured
homes. According to a 2003
59
industry study by the Freedonia Group, demand for
siding in the production of manufactured housing is forecast to
expand at a rate of 11.4% per year through 2007 (reaching
six million squares), growing faster than the overall siding
demand.
The U.S. windows and doors demand has grown
rapidly over the past ten years and was estimated in 2002 to be
$24.5 billion. The primary drivers have been growth in
remodeling and an increasing trend towards larger homes that
require more windows and doors with more amenities. Unlike many
other building products that are commodity-like in nature,
windows and doors are decorative-type products with high levels
of differentiation and corresponding variations in pricing.
Since replacement windows in particular need to fit into
pre-existing openings in a house, producers of replacement
windows require significant manufacturing flexibility to produce
a wide variety of custom sizes.
As with siding, vinyl has grown to become the
preferred material for replacement windows, and in recent years
has also achieved increased acceptance in new construction. The
Freedonia Group estimates that vinyl window and door shipments
will grow at a compound annual rate of 5.0% from
$3.6 billion in 2002 to $5.9 billion in 2012. In 2002,
vinyl windows accounted for 48.4% of the total demand for
windows in the United States. Vinyl accounted for over 54% of
the replacement window units sold in 2002, and 38% of the new
window units sold in 2002. Vinyl demand is projected to benefit
from an increase in sales by volume of replacement windows as a
percent of total residential window sales. Replacement windows
are estimated to grow to 59% of total window demand in 2008, and
further grow to represent 62% of total window demand in 2012.
Within new home construction, builders are
increasingly accepting vinyl as a viable alternative to wood in
new windows, and enhancements in material aesthetics have, and
are expected to continue to, support demand for new windows made
from plastic materials. According to the Freedonia Group, vinyl
is expected to overtake wood as the leading material in windows
for new home construction by 2007.
Demand for patio doors has increased from
3.7 million units in 1999 to an estimated 4.0 million
units in 2003. Vinyl accounted for approximately 36% of patio
door usage in 2002 and is expected to become the leading
material used for patio doors by 2004.
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Western Canada Windows &
Doors
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Demand for windows and doors in Canada, as in the
U.S., is driven by repair and remodeling of existing homes and
construction of new homes. Economic drivers specific to Western
Canada include oil and natural gas exploration and production,
agriculture and population inflow. Housing starts in Western
Canada for 2002 grew approximately 29% from 2001 levels, driven
by growth in Western Canadas population. As of 2001,
approximately 21% of all homes were built between 1971 and 1980,
while only 15% were built between 1991 and 2001. Among all
occupied homes, 67% were more than 20 years old.
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Fencing, Railing and Decking
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Demand for U.S. fencing and decking products
is estimated to be $5.4 billion in 2003. Vinyl and
composite materials represent 18.0% of fencing demand and 10.4%
of decking sales by volume. The lasting aesthetic appeal and the
low maintenance attributes of vinyl and composite fencing and
decking have increased demand for the products. Demand for vinyl
and composite fencing has grown by over 37% per year from
1997 to 2003, while sales by volume of vinyl and composite
decking have grown by approximately 35% annually from 1998 to
2003. Demand for fencing products is expected to grow at an
annual rate of 16.8% for the period 2003 to 2008, and sales by
volume of vinyl and composite decking products are expected to
grow at an annual rate of 17.1% for the same period. Management
estimates that U.S. railing sales are approximately
$1.1 billion in size and that vinyl and composite represent
approximately $100.0 million, or 9.1%, of railing sales.
60