|
Item 11.
|
Quantitative and qualitative disclosures about risk
|
Risk management
Risk-taking is
inherent in providing financial services and AIB assumes a variety of risks in its ordinary business activities. These include, credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk and operational risk. The role of Risk Management is to ensure that AIB
continues to take risk in a controlled way in order to enhance shareholder value. AIBs risk management policies are designed to identify and analyse these risks, to set appropriate risk limits and to monitor these risks and limits continually.
AIB continually modifies and enhances its risk management practices to reflect changes in markets, products and evolving best practice.
Primary responsibility for risk management lies with line management. Within AIB, line management is supported by a risk management function that sets
standards, policies, limits and measurement methods and provides independent oversight with a direct reporting line to the Group Chief Executive (CEO) and the Audit Committee of the Board.
The Board of Directors
formally approves
the overall strategy and the direction of the business on an annual basis. It regularly monitors the Groups financial performance, reviews risk management activities and controls and has responsibility for approving the Groups risk
appetite. The
Group Executive Committee (GEC)
, comprising the Group CEO, Group Director, Finance & Enterprise Technology, Group Chief Risk Officer (CRO), Group Director of HR and the four Divisional Managing
Directors, manages the strategic business risks of the Group. It sets the business strategy within which the risk management function operates and oversees its activities.
The
Group Risk Management Committee (RMC)
is chaired by the Group CRO and has Governance responsibility
for identifying, analysing and monitoring exposure, adopting best practice standards and directing risk management activities across the Group. It is supported by the
Group Credit Committee (GCC), the Group Operational Risk Management
Committee (ORMCO)
and the
Group Market Risk Committee (MRC). The Group Asset and Liability Management Committee (Group ALCO)
is chaired by the Group Director, Finance & Enterprise Technology and has
responsibility for the Groups capital, funding and liquidity management activities.
The Group CRO heads AIBs risk management function. This function is responsible for:
|
|
|
Policies, instructions and guidelines
|
|
|
|
Monitoring and control, and
|
Each of the four operating divisions have dedicated risk management functions, with Divisional CROs reporting directly to the Group CRO. In addition, the Group Chief Credit Officer (CCO) and the
Group Head of Operational Risk Management have functional responsibility for these risks at the centre and these also report directly to the Group CRO. Each Division has dedicated credit risk management and operational risk management functions. The
Divisional CCO chairs the credit committee in each Division. Each Division has an ORMCO that reports into the Group ORMCO. The CRO for Capital Markets Division has functional responsibility for market risk for the Group.
Two other functions play very important roles in overseeing the risk control
environment. These are Group Internal Audit and Regulatory Compliance & Business Ethics.
59
Group Internal Audit
provides independent assurance to the Board Audit Committee in the form of a
written opinion on the adequacy, effectiveness and sustainability of the governance, risk management and control framework in operation throughout the Group. The risk management processes for credit risk, market risk and operational risk are
assessed and tested. In addition to audit reports, internal audit provides information on the overall control environment to the management of the individual divisions. A secondary objective of internal audit is to influence proactively executive
management to strengthen the governance, risk management and control framework through the sharing of best practices.
In undertaking its responsibilities, internal audit adopts a risk-based approach, which underpins the risk management processes in place across the Group.
Businesses undertake self-assessments of operational risk and the effectiveness of their controls in managing these risks. The information contained in these self-assessments is subject to review by internal audit. There is a programme of ongoing
review of risk identification standards and risk measurement methodologies at business unit level, which includes testing of the risk mitigators adopted by management.
Regulatory Compliance & Business Ethics
(RC & BE) has responsibility for co-ordinating the
compliance functions across all Divisions and for the development of Group policy on ethical matters. Divisional compliance departments together with management, develop policies and procedures to ensure compliance with applicable law, regulation
and codes of practice with respect to the conduct of business.
RC & BE reports independently to the Audit Committee on the compliance framework in operation across the Group and on management attention to compliance matters.
Credit risk
Credit risk is the risk that a customer or counterparty will be unwilling or unable to meet a commitment that it has entered into and that the pledged
collateral does not cover AIBs claims. The credit risks in AIB arise primarily from lending activities but also from guarantees, derivatives and securities. Furthermore, credit risk includes country risk and settlement risk.
The credit risk in derivatives contracts is the risk that AIBs
counterparty in the contract defaults prior to maturity at a time when AIB has a claim on the counterparty under the contract. AIB would then have to replace the contract at the current market rate, which may result in a loss.
Country risk is the risk that circumstances can arise in which customers and
other counterparties within a given country may be unable, unwilling or precluded from fulfilling their obligations to AIB due to deterioration in economic or political circumstances.
Settlement risk is the risk of loss arising in situations where AIB has given irrevocable instructions for a transfer of a
principal amount or security in exchange for receiving a payment or security from a counterparty, which defaults before the transaction is completed.
Credit management and control
Credit risk is managed and controlled throughout AIB on the basis of established credit processes and within a framework of credit policy and delegated
authorities based on skill and experience. Credit grading and monitoring systems accommodate the early identification and management of deterioration in loan quality. In addition, the credit management process is underpinned by an independent system
of credit review.
The Board determines the credit authority
for the GCC and approves the Groups key credit policies. It also approves divisional credit authorities and reviews credit performance on a regular basis. The GCC considers and approves, within the parameters of the Group Large Exposure
Policy, credit exposures which are in excess of divisional credit authorities and has responsibility for netting and approval of loan provisioning. It comprises senior divisional and Group-based management. This committee reviews and recommends key
credit policies to the Board and reviews trends in credit quality and determines overall provision adequacy.
The Group CCO sets Groupwide standards for best practice including credit grading and scoring methodologies and exposure measurement and chairs the GCC.
Divisional management approve divisional credit policy/best practice with the involvement of the risk management function.
Customer and facility grading is a core component of the credit risk management process as it captures a variety of quantitative and qualitative factors
indicating a customers capability to meet its obligations to AIB. Divisional authority and large exposure policy limits are tiered by reference to customer and facility grade.
Credit risk on derivatives
Derivatives are used by AIB to meet customer needs as well as for proprietary trading purposes and to reduce interest rate and currency risk in regular
banking activities. Derivatives affect both credit and market risk exposures. The credit exposure is treated in the same way as other types of credit exposure and is included in customer limits.
The total credit exposure consists partly of current exposure and partly of
potential future exposure. The potential future exposure is an estimation, which reflects possible changes in market values during the remaining lifetime of the individual contract. AIB uses a simulation tool to estimate possible changes in future
market values and computes the credit exposure to a high level of statistical significance.
Country risk
Country
risk is managed by setting appropriate maximum risk limits to reflect each countrys overall credit worthiness. Independent credit information from international sources, supported by visits to relevant countries is used to determine the
appropriate risk limits. Risks and limits are monitored on an ongoing basis.
60
Settlement risk
The settlement risk on individual counterparties is measured as the full value of the transactions on the day of settlement. It is controlled through
settlement risk limits. Each counterparty is assessed in the credit process and clearing agents, correspondent banks and custodians are selected with a view to minimising settlement risk.
Measurement methods
In recent years, AIB has taken significant steps to improve its framework for quantifying credit risk. Driven initially by the introduction of Risk
Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) as a tool to improve credit decision-making and performance management, work is continuing to refine measurement methods to enhance shareholder value and meet the standards of the New Basel Accord
(Basel II).
Rating and scoring
Internal rating and credit scoring models lie at the heart of credit
management in AIB. They are used to differentiate between credits on the basis of the likelihood of default. AIBs core grading system combines an evaluation and measurement of the business and financial risk factors affecting a borrower with a
method for capturing the risk characteristics of different types of credit facilities.
Quantifying credit risk
AIBs RAROC
framework centres around the quantification of economic capital, i.e. AIBs estimate of the amount of capital required to protect against the risks inherent in the business. The most important inputs when quantifying credit risk are the
probability of default (PD), the loss given default (LGD) and the exposure at default (EAD). The rating grades produced by the rating models are translated into a PD, which is a key parameter when measuring risk.
LGD is measured taking into account the security held by AIB. EAD for many products is equal to the outstanding exposure, but for some products, such as credit lines and derivative contracts, the EAD may be higher than the outstanding exposure.
AIB uses RAROC to ensure that investment and lending
activities earn an adequate return for the risk taken. The methods used to estimate economic capital and allocate it to the business continue to be upgraded in line with emerging best practice.
Market risk
Market risk is the exposure to loss arising from adverse movements in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and equity
prices. It arises in trading activities as well as in the natural course of transacting business, for example in the provision of fixed rate loans or equity linked tracker bonds to customers.
Risk management and control
The principal aims of AIBs market risk management activities are to
limit the adverse impact of interest rate, exchange rate and equity price movements on profitability and shareholder value and to enhance earnings within defined limits. Market risk management for AIB is centralized in Capital Markets Division.
Interest rate, foreign exchange rate and equity risks incurred in retail and corporate banking activities are transferred into Global Treasury where they are managed. The basic principle is that these risks are eliminated by matching the market risk
characteristics of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet items. Global Treasury has the discretion to run a small mismatch, subject to strict limits and is also responsible for AIBs investment and liquidity management activities.
Market risks are managed by setting limits on the amount of
the Groups capital that can be put at risk. These limits are based on risk measurement methodologies described below. The Board delegates authority to the Group CRO to allocate these limits on its behalf. The limits for Global Treasury are set
in accordance with its business strategy and are reviewed frequently. The Managing Director of Global Treasury allocates these limits to the various dealing desks who supplement these with more detailed limits and other risk reducing features such
as stop-loss rules. Within Global Treasury, there is a dedicated risk management team charged with the responsibility to ensure that the risk measurement methodologies used are appropriate for the risks being taken and that appropriate monitoring
and control procedures are in place. The Market Risk Committee (MRC) reviews market risk strategy. It approves policies and promotes best practice for measurement, monitoring and control.
Liquidity risk
The objective of liquidity management is to ensure that, at all times, the Group holds sufficient funds to meet its
contracted and contingent commitments to customers and counterparties, at an economic price. The Group achieves this through the maintenance of a stock of high quality liquid assets and active involvement in the interbank market, supplemented by a
euro medium-term note program. The Groups stock of liquid assets is maintained at a level considered sufficient to meet the withdrawal of deposits or calls on commitments in both normal and abnormal trading conditions. In all cases, net
outflows are monitored on a daily basis and the required minimum stock of liquid assets can be increased if these outflows exceed predetermined target levels. Global Treasury, through its wholesale treasury operations manages, on a global basis, the
liquidity and funding requirements of the Group. Item 11 outlines the committee oversight responsibility with respect to liquidity management.
Euro, Sterling and the Polish zloty represent the most important currencies to AIB Group from a liquidity perspective. The Group has an establised retail
deposit base in Ireland, Britain and Poland which funds asset growth. Although a significant element of these deposits are contractually repayable on demand or at short notice, the Groups substantial customer base and geographic spread
generally ensures that these current and deposit accounts represent a stable and predictable source of funds. The retail deposit base in Ireland and the U.K has continued to grow in recent years, despite the general reduction in interest rates. In
Poland, there has been a small reduction in deposit levels due to the falling interest rate environment. An additional contribution
61
to this reduction has been the introduction of deposit interest retention tax resulting in a move to mutual type funds. Polands fund management
subsidiary has proactively responded to this market change and succeeded in increasing its share of the overall Polish savings and investment market. Notwithstanding this trend, deposits in Poland continue to significantly exceed loan assets.
The Group has sufficient liquidity to meet its current funding
requirements and has a funding strategy in place to meet its future funding needs.
For information on the level of borrowing at the end of the period and its maturity and interest profile see Analysis of loans to customers by maturity and interest rate sensitivity on page 166.
The Group also operates a liquidity contingency plan for
critical situations. This was last instigated in February 2002 following the fraudulent foreign exchange trading activities in Allfirst Bank. Counterparty ratings of AIB are as follows: Moodys long-term Aa3 and short-term
P-1; Fitch long-term AA minus and F+1; Standard and Poors long-term single A.
Measurement methods
There is no single risk measure that captures all aspects of market risk. AIB uses several risk measures including Value at Risk (VaR) models,
sensitivity measures and stress testing.
VaR
The aim of VaR is to estimate the probable maximum loss in fair value that
could arise in one month from a worst case movement in market rates. This is computed using statistical analysis of market rate movements setting a confidence level at 99%. This means that there is a one in one hundred chance that the
potential loss could be greater than that estimated from the data used. VaR figures are quoted using one-day and one-month holding periods.
AIBs market risk exposure is spread across a range of instruments, currencies and maturities. The VaR for a portfolio of market risk positions will
not be the sum of the VaRs for each financial instrument included in the portfolio. The VaR for a portfolio is lower because it is unlikely that the worst case scenario occurs in all instruments, currencies and maturities simultaneously.
Sensitivity measures
The limitations of VaR techniques are well known to banks. They stem from
the need to make assumptions about the spread of likely future price and rate movements. AIB supplements its VaR methodology with sensitivity measures. Dealers in Global Treasury know how much the value of their positions could change for a given
change in rates and/or prices. This sensitivity is monitored at desk and management level and reported on by the Global Treasury risk management unit. These measures can also be used to decide on hedging activities. Decisions can be taken to close
out positions when the level of sensitivity combined with the likelihood of a rate or price change exposes AIB to too high a loss in value.
Stress testing
AIBs VaR and sensitivity measures provide estimates of probable maximum loss in normal market conditions. Stress tests are used to supplement these
measures by estimating possible losses that may occur under extreme market conditions. These measures feed into the estimate of economic capital for market risk.
The following table illustrates the VAR figures for interest rate risk for the years ended December 31, 2003 and 2002.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
|
|
Trading
|
|
Non-Trading
|
|
Trading
|
|
Non-Trading
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Interest rate risk
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 month holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
9.3
|
|
25.9
|
|
6.8
|
|
48.7
|
|
High
|
|
11.6
|
|
49.6
|
|
9.3
|
|
87.4
|
|
Low
|
|
6.4
|
|
12.8
|
|
4.7
|
|
23.0
|
|
December 31
|
|
8.1
|
|
18.9
|
|
6.4
|
|
48.5
|
|
1 day holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
2.1
|
|
5.8
|
|
1.5
|
|
10.9
|
|
High
|
|
2.6
|
|
11.1
|
|
2.1
|
|
19.5
|
|
Low
|
|
1.4
|
|
2.9
|
|
1.0
|
|
5.1
|
|
December 31
|
|
1.8
|
|
4.2
|
|
1.4
|
|
10.8
|
Interest rate risk
Global Treasury manages the Groups exposure to interest rate risk.
The risk is that changes in interest rates will have adverse effects on earnings and on the value of AIBs assets and liabilities. This risk is managed by setting limits on the earnings at risk and the value at risk (VaR) from the open interest
rate risk positions of the Group. Stop loss limits are also used to close out loss making positions.
In managing interest rate risk, a distinction is made between trading and non-trading activities. Trading activities are recorded in the trading book.
Interest rate risk associated with AIBs retail, corporate and commercial activities is managed through the non-trading book. The reported interest rate VaR figures above represent the average, high, low and year end probable maximum loss in
respect of both trading and non-trading book positions held in Global Treasury.
62
Trading book
The interest rate trading book includes all securities and interest rate derivatives that are held for trading purposes in Global Treasury. These are
revalued daily at market prices (marked to market) and any changes in value are immediately recognized in income. During 2003, trading book interest rate risk was predominantly concentrated in the euro, sterling and the US dollar.
Non-trading book
AIBs non-trading book consists of its retail and corporate deposit books, Global Treasurys cash books and the
Groups investment portfolios. AIBs retail businesses have a substantial level of free current accounts, equity and other interest-free or fixed rate liabilities and assets. Unless carefully managed, the net income from these funds will
fluctuate directly with short-term interest rates. AIB manages this volatility by maintaining a portfolio of assets with interest rates fixed for several years. In designing this strategy, care is taken to ensure that the management of the portfolio
is not inflexible as market conditions and customer requirements can bring about a need to alter the portfolio. Group ALCO sets the framework and reviews the management of these activities.
AIBs net interest rate sensitivity as at December 31, 2003 is
illustrated in note 52.
Foreign exchange rate risk
AIB is exposed to foreign exchange rate risk through its international
operations and through Global Treasury activities in foreign currencies.
Foreign exchange rate risk - structural
Structural foreign exchange rate risk arises from the Groups non-trading net asset position in foreign currencies. Structural risk exposure arises almost entirely from the Groups net investments in its sterling, US dollar and
Polish zloty-based subsidiaries. The Group prepares its consolidated financial statements in euro. Accordingly, the consolidated balance sheet is affected by movements in the exchange rates between these currencies and the euro.
It is normal Group practice to match material individual foreign currency
investments in overseas subsidiaries, associated undertakings and branches, with liabilities in the same currency. However, Polish investments are recorded in euro. Because of the Groups diversified international operations, the currency
profile of its capital may not necessarily match that of its assets and risk weighted assets. Under Board-approved policy, a sub-committee of Group ALCO has delegated responsibility for hedging this structural mismatch against adverse exchange rate
movements.
The Group does not maintain material non-trading
open currency positions other than the structural risk exposure discussed above.
At December 31, 2003 and 2002, the Groups structural foreign exchange position was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2003
|
|
December 31,
2002
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
US dollar
|
|
1,499
|
|
902
|
|
Sterling
|
|
1,008
|
|
1,206
|
|
Polish zloty
|
|
129
|
|
187
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,636
|
|
2,295
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This position
indicates that a 10% movement in the value of the euro against these currencies at December 31, 2003 would result in an amount to be taken to reserves of 264 million.
Under the existing accounting policy, the Group may choose to hedge all or part of its projected future foreign currency
earnings, thereby fixing a translation rate for the amount hedged. The purpose of these hedges is to minimise the risk of significant fluctuations in the reported euro values of the Groups separate US dollar, sterling and Polish zloty
earnings. A discussion on the impact of hedging profits is included in translation of foreign locations income on page 20 of this report. The ability to hedge translation risk arising from fluctuations in the reported euro value of
foreign currency earnings will be severely restricted under IAS 39.
Foreign
exchange rate risk - trading
Global Treasury manages
AIBs exposure to foreign exchange rate risk arising from unhedged customer transactions and discretionary trading. The risk is that adverse movements in foreign exchange rates will result in losses. This risk is managed by setting limits on
the earnings at risk and the value at risk (VaR) from the open foreign exchange rate positions of the Group. Stop loss limits are also used to close out loss making positions.
63
The following table sets out the VaR figures for trading foreign exchange rate risk for the years ended
December 31, 2003 and 2002.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Foreign exchange rate risk-trading
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 month holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
0.6
|
|
0.9
|
|
High
|
|
0.9
|
|
1.9
|
|
Low
|
|
0.3
|
|
0.3
|
|
December 31
|
|
0.5
|
|
0.8
|
|
1 day holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.2
|
|
High
|
|
0.2
|
|
0.4
|
|
Low
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.1
|
|
December 31
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.2
|
Equity risk
Global Treasury manages the equity risk arising on its convertible bond
portfolio and from stock market linked investment products (tracker bonds) sold to customers. Goodbody stockbrokers manage the equity risk in its Principal Trading Account. The risk is that adverse movements in share, share index or equity option
prices will result in losses for the Group. This risk is managed by setting limits on the earnings at risk and the value at risk (VaR) from the open equity positions of the Group. Stop loss limits are also used to close out loss making
positions. The table below sets out the VaR figures for equity risk for the years ended December 31, 2003 and 2002.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
|
|
Non-Trading
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Equity risk
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 month holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
14.5
|
|
10.2
|
|
|
|
0.3
|
|
High
|
|
19.3
|
|
16.5
|
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
Low
|
|
11.6
|
|
6.2
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
31 December
|
|
18.1
|
|
9.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 day holding period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
3.2
|
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
High
|
|
4.3
|
|
3.7
|
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
Low
|
|
2.6
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 December
|
|
4.1
|
|
2.2
|
|
|
|
|
Off-balance sheet financial
instruments
AIB uses off-balance sheet financial
instruments, including derivatives, to service customer requirements, to manage the Groups market risk exposures and for trading purposes.
Credit commitments
Contingent liabilities and commitments to extend credit are outlined in note 43. The Groups maximum exposure to credit loss in the event of
non-performance by the other party, where all counterclaims, collateral or security prove valueless, is represented by the contractual amounts of these contracts.
The following table shows the nominal or contract amounts and the risk weighted credit equivalent of contingent liabilities
and commitments at December 31, 2003 and 2002.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2003
|
|
December 31, 2002
|
|
|
|
Contract
amount
|
|
Risk
weighted
amount
|
|
Contract
amount
|
|
Risk
weighted
amount
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
|
|
Contingent liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Acceptances and endorsements
|
|
12
|
|
12
|
|
72
|
|
61
|
|
Guarantees and assets pledged as collateral security
|
|
4,157
|
|
4,053
|
|
5,292
|
|
4,958
|
|
Other contingent liabilities
|
|
722
|
|
368
|
|
1,027
|
|
520
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,891
|
|
4,433
|
|
6,391
|
|
5,539
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commitments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sale and option to resell transactions
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,062
|
|
1,230
|
|
Other commitments
|
|
13,932
|
|
4,027
|
|
17,890
|
|
4,499
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,932
|
|
4,027
|
|
19,952
|
|
5,729
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64
The Group uses the same credit control and risk management policies in undertaking all off-balance sheet
commitments as it does for on balance sheet lending including counterparty credit approval, limit setting and monitoring procedures. In addition, in relation to derivative instruments, the Groups exposure to market risk is controlled within
the risk limits in the Groups Interest Rate Risk and Foreign Exchange Risk Policies and is further constrained by the risk parameters incorporated in the Groups Derivatives Policy as approved by the Board.
The table below shows the notional amount and gross replacement cost for
trading and non-trading interest rate, exchange rate and equity contracts at December 31, 2003 and 2002. Further detailed information on derivatives is provided in Note 44 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2003
|
|
December 31, 2002
|
|
|
|
Notional
amount
|
|
Gross
replacement
cost
|
|
Notional
amount
|
|
Gross
replacement
cost
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Interest rate contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
|
|
72,736
|
|
736
|
|
75,558
|
|
1,223
|
|
Non-trading
|
|
27,045
|
|
294
|
|
34,971
|
|
690
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99,781
|
|
1,030
|
|
110,529
|
|
1,913
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange rate contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
|
|
14,753
|
|
464
|
|
18,468
|
|
457
|
|
Non-trading
|
|
812
|
|
37
|
|
2,578
|
|
89
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,565
|
|
501
|
|
21,046
|
|
546
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
|
|
2,445
|
|
73
|
|
2,037
|
|
27
|
|
Non-trading
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,445
|
|
73
|
|
2,037
|
|
27
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivative instruments
are contractual agreements between parties whose value reflects movements in an underlying interest rate, foreign exchange rate, equity price or index. While notional principal amounts are used to express the volume of these transactions, the
amounts subject to credit risk are much lower. This is because most derivatives involve payments based on the net differences between the rates expressed in the contracts and other market rates.
The Group is exposed to interest rate risk when assets and liabilities mature
or reprice at different times or in differing amounts. Interest rate derivatives are used to manage interest rate risk in a cost-efficient manner. Similarly, foreign exchange and equity derivatives are used to manage the Groups exposure to
foreign exchange and equity risk, as required.
The values of
derivative instruments can rise and fall as market rates change. Where they are used to hedge on-balance sheet assets or liabilities, the changes in value are generally offset by the value changes in the hedged items.
Derivative transactions entered into for hedging purposes are accounted for
in accordance with the accounting treatment for the item or items being hedged. Futures contracts are designated as hedges when they reduce risk and there is a high correlation between the futures contract and the item being hedged, both at
inception and throughout the hedge period. Swaps, forward rate agreements and option contracts are generally used to manage the interest rate risk of balance sheet items and are linked to specific assets or groups of similar assets or specific
liabilities or groups of similar liabilities. Where a transaction originally entered into for hedging purposes no longer represents a hedge, its value is restated at fair value and any subsequent change in value is taken to the statement of income
immediately.
The following is a brief description of the
derivative instruments that account for the major part of the Groups derivative activities:
Interest rate swaps
are agreements between two parties to exchange fixed and floating rate interest by means of periodic payments based upon
notional principal amounts and interest rates defined in the contract.
The Group uses interest rate swaps to manage the impact on income and stockholders value of interest rate changes on variable and fixed rate assets. In addition, swaps are used to hedge the Groups funding costs.
Currency swaps
are interest rate swaps where one or both of the legs
of the swap is payable in a different currency. They are used by both customers and Global Treasury to convert fixed rate assets or liabilities to floating rate or vice versa, or to change the maturity or currency profile of underlying assets and
liabilities, as required.
Forward rate agreements
are
individually negotiated contracts under which an interest rate is agreed for a notional principal amount covering a specified period in the future. At the settlement date, if interest rates for the future period are higher than the agreed rate, the
seller pays the buyer the difference between the contract rate and the rate prevailing. If interest rates are lower, the buyer pays the seller. These contracts are used by customers to fix the rates for future short-term borrowing or deposits.
Financial futures
are exchange traded contracts to buy
or sell a standardised amount of the underlying item at an agreed price on a set date. Interest rate futures contracts are available in all of the major currencies. Foreign currency and equity index futures are also available. Financial futures are
used to hedge the Groups exposures arising from the sale of forward rate agreements or guaranteed equity products. They are also used to manage the interest rate risks arising in the Groups debt securities portfolio.
65
Options
are contracts that give the purchaser the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an
underlying asset e.g. bond, foreign currency, or equity index, at a certain price on or before an agreed date. These provide more flexible means of managing exposure to changes in interest rates, exchange rates and equity index levels. Foreign
exchange rate options are used to hedge income and expenses arising from non-euro denominated assets and liabilities and to manage the impact of exchange rates on the reported euro value of non-euro earnings. Foreign exchange rate options are also
used to hedge exposures arising from customer transactions.
Interest rate caps/floors
are series of options that give the buyer the ability to fix the maximum or minimum rate of interest. A combination of an interest rate cap and floor is known as an interest rate collar.
Forward foreign exchange contracts
are agreements to buy or sell a
specified quantity of foreign currency, usually on a specified date, at an agreed exchange rate. These contracts are used by customers to fix the exchange rates for future foreign exchange transactions. They are also used by the Group to hedge
non-euro income and expenses and to manage the impact of exchange rates on the reported euro value of non-euro earnings.
Credit derivatives
are contracts, the value of which are determined by the credit worthiness of some underlying borrower or borrowers. They are
used in the industry to increase (take a position in) or decrease (hedge) an exposure to credit risk. AIB currently makes little use of credit derivatives.
Operational risk
Within AIB, operational risk is defined as the exposure to loss from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events.
It is the risk of direct or indirect loss, or damaged reputation, due to deficiencies or errors in the Groups internal operations which may be attributable to employees, the organisation, control routines, processes or technology, or due to
external events and relations. Operational risks are inherent in all activities within the organization, in outsourced activities and in all interaction with external parties.
Solid internal control and quality management, consisting of a risk management framework, leadership and skilled personnel,
is the key to successful operational risk management. Each business area is primarily responsible for managing its own operational risks. Risk management develops and maintains the framework for identifying, monitoring and controlling operational
risks and supports the business in implementing the framework and raising awareness of operational risks.
An element of AIBs operational risk management framework is ongoing monitoring through self-assessment of control deficiencies and weaknesses, the
tracking of incidents and loss events and the use of a structured lessons learned process to ensure that, once identified, control deficiencies are communicated and remedied across the Group.
The role of Group ORMCO is to co-ordinate operational risk management
activities across the Group through setting policy, monitoring compliance and promoting best practice disciplines.
Loan portfolio
AIB Groups
loan portfolio comprises loans (including overdrafts) and installment credit and finance lease receivables.
The overdraft provides a demand credit facility combined with a checking account. Borrowings occur when the customers drawings take the checking
account into debit. The balance may therefore fluctuate with the requirements of the customer. Although overdrafts are contractually repayable on demand (unless a fixed term has been agreed), provided the account is deemed to be satisfactory, full
repayment is not generally demanded without notice.
An
important factor influencing the quality of AIB Groups earnings is the diversification of its credit portfolio within each of its geographic markets (Ireland, United Kingdom, United States of America and Poland) by spread of locations,
industry classification and individual customer.
Apart from
the Construction and Property sector in the Republic of Ireland, no one industry in any geographic market accounts for more than 10% of AIB Groups total loan portfolio.
Loans to the Construction and Property sector in the Republic of Ireland accounted for 13.1% of group advances as at
December 31, 2003. These loans are well diversified by sub-sector, loan type, location and borrower. This portfolio includes loans for Property investment which is comprised of loans for investment in Commercial, Retail, Office and Residential
Property (the majority of these loans are underpinned by lessee cashflow as well as collateral of the investment property), Property Development which is comprised of Residential Development and Commercial Development. A small percentage comprises
loans to the Contracting sub-sector.
66
The following table shows AIB Groups total loan portfolio by categories of loans at December 31,
2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 and 1999.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
|
IRELAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
1,372
|
|
|
1,393
|
|
|
1,344
|
|
|
1,233
|
|
|
1,261
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
336
|
|
|
539
|
|
|
386
|
|
|
385
|
|
|
234
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
1,941
|
|
|
2,171
|
|
|
2,452
|
|
|
2,485
|
|
|
1,729
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
6,716
|
|
|
4,796
|
|
|
4,062
|
|
|
3,455
|
|
|
2,665
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
4,039
|
|
|
3,741
|
|
|
3,351
|
|
|
2,960
|
|
|
2,412
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
490
|
|
|
505
|
|
|
544
|
|
|
404
|
|
|
505
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
380
|
|
|
461
|
|
|
556
|
|
|
392
|
|
|
804
|
|
|
Services
|
|
2,443
|
|
|
1,980
|
|
|
1,600
|
|
|
1,300
|
|
|
978
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
10,271
|
|
|
7,725
|
|
|
5,930
|
|
|
4,922
|
|
|
3,915
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
3,412
|
|
|
3,024
|
|
|
2,716
|
|
|
2,531
|
|
|
2,274
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
1,375
|
|
|
1,406
|
|
|
1,364
|
|
|
1,336
|
|
|
1,202
|
|
|
Guaranteed by Irish Government
|
|
1
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
|
|
|
51
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32,776
|
|
|
27,752
|
|
|
24,305
|
|
|
21,454
|
|
|
17,986
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED KINGDOM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
143
|
|
|
162
|
|
|
134
|
|
|
136
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
157
|
|
|
73
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
87
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
1,166
|
|
|
989
|
|
|
1,190
|
|
|
780
|
|
|
659
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
4,008
|
|
|
2,860
|
|
|
2,156
|
|
|
1,850
|
|
|
1,473
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
1,850
|
|
|
1,588
|
|
|
1,423
|
|
|
1,319
|
|
|
1,307
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
268
|
|
|
264
|
|
|
308
|
|
|
149
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
856
|
|
|
781
|
|
|
745
|
|
|
521
|
|
|
268
|
|
|
Services
|
|
2,223
|
|
|
2,261
|
|
|
1,805
|
|
|
1,522
|
|
|
1,440
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
2,499
|
|
|
2,151
|
|
|
1,965
|
|
|
1,775
|
|
|
1,523
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
1,030
|
|
|
1,007
|
|
|
922
|
|
|
872
|
|
|
742
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
22
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14,222
|
|
|
12,136
|
|
|
10,668
|
|
|
9,011
|
|
|
7,617
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
79
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
76
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
94
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
58
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
51
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
692
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,057
|
|
|
10,916
|
|
|
13,602
|
|
|
13,060
|
|
|
11,637
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POLAND
(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
135
|
|
|
154
|
|
|
169
|
|
|
133
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
200
|
|
|
219
|
|
|
263
|
|
|
207
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
720
|
|
|
871
|
|
|
1,018
|
|
|
886
|
|
|
|
|
|
Construction and Property
|
|
270
|
|
|
221
|
|
|
230
|
|
|
187
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
439
|
|
|
600
|
|
|
730
|
|
|
607
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
85
|
|
|
113
|
|
|
102
|
|
|
57
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
86
|
|
|
238
|
|
|
196
|
|
|
228
|
|
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
287
|
|
|
318
|
|
|
275
|
|
|
181
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Commercial
|
|
2,222
|
|
|
2,734
|
|
|
2,983
|
|
|
2,486
|
|
|
2,184
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
388
|
|
|
319
|
|
|
181
|
|
|
78
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
186
|
|
|
239
|
|
|
333
|
|
|
340
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Personal
|
|
574
|
|
|
558
|
|
|
514
|
|
|
418
|
|
|
294
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
248
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,044
|
|
|
3,292
|
|
|
3,497
|
|
|
2,904
|
|
|
2,478
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REST OF THE WORLD
|
|
15
|
|
|
227
|
|
|
230
|
|
|
220
|
|
|
301
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Loans to customers
|
|
51,114
|
|
|
54,323
|
|
|
52,302
|
|
|
46,649
|
|
|
40,019
|
|
|
Unearned income
|
|
(115
|
)
|
|
(242
|
)
|
|
(311
|
)
|
|
(329
|
)
|
|
(293
|
)
|
|
Allowance for loan losses
|
|
(662
|
)
|
|
(860
|
)
|
|
(1,007
|
)
|
|
(869
|
)
|
|
(768
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50,337
|
|
|
53,221
|
|
|
50,984
|
|
|
45,451
|
|
|
38,958
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67
|
(1)
|
Following the divesting of Allfirst in Quarter 1 2003 AIB Groups remaining USA advances
are categorized sectorally on a basis consistent with the rest of the Group. For reference, details of the Groups USA advances, as previously reported are included below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2002
|
|
2001
|
|
2000
|
|
1999
|
|
1998
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
|
|
4,416
|
|
5,606
|
|
5,107
|
|
4,262
|
|
3,446
|
|
Real estate
|
|
2,582
|
|
2,988
|
|
2,862
|
|
2,556
|
|
2,209
|
|
Residential mortgages
|
|
374
|
|
550
|
|
705
|
|
691
|
|
717
|
|
Retail
|
|
2,693
|
|
3,206
|
|
3,049
|
|
2,911
|
|
2,346
|
|
Bankcard
|
|
12
|
|
17
|
|
16
|
|
15
|
|
13
|
|
Leases receivable
|
|
839
|
|
1,235
|
|
1,321
|
|
1,202
|
|
891
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10,916
|
|
13,602
|
|
13,060
|
|
11,637
|
|
9,622
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2)
|
A common standard for sectoral reporting of Poland advances was not available in 1999.
|
The following table shows the percentages of
total loans by each category of loan at December 31, 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 and 1999.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
IRELAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
2.7
|
%
|
|
2.6
|
%
|
|
2.6
|
%
|
|
2.6
|
%
|
|
3.1
|
%
|
|
Energy
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
3.8
|
|
|
4.1
|
|
|
4.7
|
|
|
5.3
|
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
13.1
|
|
|
8.8
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
7.4
|
|
|
6.7
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
7.9
|
|
|
6.9
|
|
|
6.4
|
|
|
6.4
|
|
|
6.0
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
2.0
|
|
|
Services
|
|
4.8
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
3.1
|
|
|
2.8
|
|
|
2.4
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
20.1
|
|
|
14.2
|
|
|
11.3
|
|
|
10.6
|
|
|
9.8
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
6.6
|
|
|
5.6
|
|
|
5.2
|
|
|
5.4
|
|
|
5.7
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
2.7
|
|
|
2.6
|
|
|
2.6
|
|
|
2.9
|
|
|
3.0
|
|
|
Guaranteed by Irish Government
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.1
|
%
|
|
51.1
|
%
|
|
46.5
|
%
|
|
46.0
|
%
|
|
44.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED KINGDOM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
Energy
|
|
0.3
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
2.3
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
2.3
|
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
1.6
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
5.3
|
|
|
4.1
|
|
|
4.0
|
|
|
3.7
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
3.7
|
|
|
2.9
|
|
|
2.7
|
|
|
2.8
|
|
|
3.3
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
0.3
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
Services
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
4.2
|
|
|
3.4
|
|
|
3.2
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
4.9
|
|
|
4.0
|
|
|
3.8
|
|
|
3.8
|
|
|
3.8
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
2.0
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
Lease Financing
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27.8
|
%
|
|
22.4
|
%
|
|
20.4
|
%
|
|
19.3
|
%
|
|
19.0
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
0.0
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.1
|
%
|
|
20.1
|
%
|
|
26.0
|
%
|
|
28.0
|
%
|
|
29.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
POLAND
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
0.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
Energy
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
1.6
|
|
|
2.0
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
Construction and Property
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transport
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Commercial
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
5.0
|
|
|
5.7
|
|
|
5.3
|
|
|
5.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Personal
|
|
1.2
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.0
|
%
|
|
6.0
|
%
|
|
6.7
|
%
|
|
6.2
|
%
|
|
6.2
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REST OF THE WORLD
|
|
0.0
|
%
|
|
0.4
|
%
|
|
0.4
|
%
|
|
0.5
|
%
|
|
0.8
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loans to customers
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
A common standard for sectoral reporting of Poland advances was not available in 1999.
|
Analysis of loans to customers by maturity and interest rate
sensitivity
The following table analyzes loans to
customers by maturity and interest rate sensitivity. Overdrafts, which in the aggregate represent approximately 7% of the portfolio, are classified as repayable within one year. Over 14% of AIB Groups loan portfolio is provided on a fixed rate
basis. Fixed rate loans are defined as those loans for which the interest rate is fixed for the full term of the loan. The interest rate risk exposure is managed by Global Treasury within agreed policy parameters.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2003
|
|
|
|
Within 1
year
|
|
After 1 year
but within 5
years
|
|
After 5
years
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Ireland
|
|
11,296
|
|
8,264
|
|
13,216
|
|
32,776
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
4,675
|
|
3,033
|
|
6,514
|
|
14,222
|
|
United States of America
|
|
173
|
|
438
|
|
446
|
|
1,057
|
|
Poland
|
|
1,358
|
|
1,173
|
|
513
|
|
3,044
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loans by maturity
|
|
17,502
|
|
12,908
|
|
20,704
|
|
51,114
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed rate
|
|
Variable
rate
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Ireland
|
|
|
|
3,514
|
|
29,262
|
|
32,776
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
|
|
1,629
|
|
12,593
|
|
14,222
|
|
United States of America
|
|
|
|
545
|
|
512
|
|
1,057
|
|
Poland
|
|
|
|
1,555
|
|
1,489
|
|
3,044
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,243
|
|
43,871
|
|
51,114
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provision and allowance for loan
losses
A provision for loan losses is taken as a charge
to income and added to the allowance for loan losses to bring the allowance to a level considered sufficient, having regard to both specific and general factors. Any subsequent charge off (write-off) is charged against the allowance.
A specific provision is made against problem loans when, in the judgement of
management, the estimated repayment realizable from the obligor, including the value of any security available, is likely to fall short of the amount of principal and interest outstanding on the obligors loan or overdraft account. Certain
consumer portfolios are provided for on a delinquency basis. These portfolios are Credit Cards, Leasing and Home Mortgages. The amount of the specific provision made in AIB Groups consolidated financial statements is intended to cover the
difference between the balance outstanding on problem loans and estimated recoveries.
69
When a loan has been subjected to a specific provision and the prospects for recovery do not improve, a
point will come when it may be concluded that there is no realistic prospect of recovery. When that point is reached, the amount of the loan which is considered to be beyond prospect of recovery is charged off.
The management process for the identification of loans requiring provision is
underpinned by independent tiers of review. Credit quality and loan loss provisioning are independently monitored by head office personnel on a regular basis. A groupwide system for grading advances according to agreed credit criteria exists with an
important objective being the timely identification of vulnerable loans so that remedial action can be taken at the earliest opportunity. Grading is fundamental to the determination of provisioning in AIB Group; it triggers the process which results
in the creation of a specific provision on individual loans where there is doubt on recoverability.
General provisions are also maintained to cover loans which are impaired at balance sheet date and, while not specifically identified, are known from
experience to be present in any portfolio of loans.
General
provisions are maintained at levels that are deemed appropriate by management having considered: credit grading profiles and grading movements; historic loan loss rates; changes in credit management, procedures, processes and policies; levels of
credit management skills; local and international economic climates; portfolio sector profiles/industry conditions; current estimates of expected loss in the portfolio.
Estimates of expected loss are driven by the following key factors;
|
|
|
Probability of default i.e. the likelihood of a customer defaulting on its obligations over the next 12 months,
|
|
|
|
Loss given default i.e. the fraction of the exposure amount that will be lost in the event of default, and
|
|
|
|
Exposure at default i.e. exposure is calculated by adding the expected drawn balance plus a percentage of the unused limits.
|
Our grading systems have been internally developed and are continually being
enhanced, e.g. externally benchmarked, to help underpin the aforementioned factors which determine the estimates of expected loss. Estimated expected loss is only one element in assessing the adequacy of our allowances.
All AIB divisions assess and approve their provisions and provision adequacy
on a quarterly basis. These provisions are in turn reviewed and approved by the AIB Group Credit Committee on a quarterly basis with ultimate Group levels being approved by the Group Audit Committee and the Group Board of Directors.
70
Movements in the allowance for loan losses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
|
Total allowance at beginning of period
|
|
862
|
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
872
|
|
|
771
|
|
|
538
|
|
|
Acquisition of subsidiary companies
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
|
|
184
|
|
|
Allowance of disposed loans
|
|
(135
|
)
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfer from provisions for contingent liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currency translation and other adjustments
|
|
(51
|
)
|
|
(86
|
)
|
|
46
|
|
|
33
|
|
|
43
|
|
|
Recoveries of provisions previously charged off
|
|
18
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
32
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
Amounts charged off
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
(65
|
)
|
|
(62
|
)
|
|
(34
|
)
|
|
(33
|
)
|
|
(31
|
)
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
(25
|
)
|
|
(21
|
)
|
|
(10
|
)
|
|
(17
|
)
|
|
(16
|
)
|
|
United States of America
|
|
(23
|
)
|
|
(89
|
)
|
|
(42
|
)
|
|
(44
|
)
|
|
(43
|
)
|
|
Poland
|
|
(69
|
)
|
|
(106
|
)
|
|
(24
|
)
|
|
(18
|
)
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
(20
|
)
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(182
|
)
|
|
(279
|
)
|
|
(113
|
)
|
|
(132
|
)
|
|
(107
|
)
|
|
Provisions charged against income
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
109
|
|
|
72
|
|
|
137
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
62
|
|
|
43
|
|
|
36
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
31
|
|
|
United States of America
|
|
10
|
|
|
97
|
|
|
49
|
|
|
44
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
Poland
|
|
134
|
|
|
167
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
91
|
|
|
22
|
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
315
|
|
|
379
|
|
|
346
|
|
|
258
|
|
|
178
|
|
|
Recoveries of provisions against income
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
(32
|
)
|
|
(21
|
)
|
|
(18
|
)
|
|
(14
|
)
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
(16
|
)
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
(21
|
)
|
|
United States of America
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
Poland
|
|
(102
|
)
|
|
(126
|
)
|
|
(106
|
)
|
|
(64
|
)
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
Rest of the world
|
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
(14
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(145
|
)
|
|
(159
|
)
|
|
(142
|
)
|
|
(93
|
)
|
|
(65
|
)
|
|
Recoveries of provisions previously charged off
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
(13
|
)
|
|
(12
|
)
|
|
(13
|
)
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
(14
|
)
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
United States of America
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
(12
|
)
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
(10
|
)
|
|
(9
|
)
|
|
Poland
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(18
|
)
|
|
(26
|
)
|
|
(25
|
)
|
|
(32
|
)
|
|
(28
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total allowance at end of period
|
|
664
|
|
|
862
|
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
872
|
|
|
771
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allowance at end of period
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Specific
|
|
348
|
|
|
435
|
|
|
539
|
|
|
436
|
|
|
401
|
|
|
General
|
|
316
|
|
|
427
|
|
|
470
|
|
|
436
|
|
|
370
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
664
|
|
|
862
|
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
872
|
|
|
771
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts include:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to banks
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
Loans and advances to customers
|
|
662
|
|
|
860
|
|
|
1,007
|
|
|
869
|
|
|
768
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
664
|
|
|
862
|
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
872
|
|
|
771
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
The aggregate of these sets of figures represents the total provisions for loan losses
charged to income.
|
Commentary on the movements
are detailed on page 28 i.e (provisions for loan losses), page 72 (net charge offs) and page 77 (movements in non-performing loans).
71
The following table reconciles the total provisions for loan losses charged to income as shown in (A),
the table on page 71 above relating to Movements in the allowance for loan losses, with that shown in (B), AIB Groups Consolidated statement of income.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Years ended
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
|
(A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provisions charged against income
|
|
315
|
|
|
379
|
|
|
346
|
|
|
Recoveries of provisions charged against income
|
|
(145
|
)
|
|
(159
|
)
|
|
(142
|
)
|
|
Recoveries of loans previously charged off
|
|
(18
|
)
|
|
(26
|
)
|
|
(25
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total charged to income
|
|
152
|
|
|
194
|
|
|
179
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provisions for loans losses
|
|
152
|
|
|
194
|
|
|
179
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table
presents additional information with respect to the provision and allowance for loan losses for the years ended December 31, 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 and 1999.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Years ended December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
Allowance at end of period as a percentage of total loans, less unearned income, at end of period
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Specific Allowance
|
|
0.68
|
%
|
|
0.80
|
%
|
|
1.04
|
%
|
|
0.94
|
%
|
|
1.01
|
%
|
|
General Allowance
|
|
0.62
|
%
|
|
0.79
|
%
|
|
0.90
|
%
|
|
0.94
|
%
|
|
0.93
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.30
|
%
|
|
1.59
|
%
|
|
1.94
|
%
|
|
1.88
|
%
|
|
1.94
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The reduction in
allowance from 1.59% to 1.30% is mainly due to the increase in total loans in the period of 15.5% (19.4% on a constant currency basis).
Specific allowances are allocated to individual non-performing loans (see page 74 for geographic split by sector).
The specific allowances as a percentage of loans has decreased from 0.80% to
0.68% for 2003 but when adjusted for the divestment of Allfirst the comparable figure for 2002 is 0.91%. The underlying decrease of 0.23% is largely impacted by advances growth on a constant currency basis of 19.4% in 2003 and a net reduction in NPL
levels and hence specific provisions.
The general allowance as
a percentage of loans has decreased from 0.79% (adjusted for the divestment of Allfirst 0.69%) to 0.62% mainly influenced by advances growth.
Other factors which have influenced the level of general allowance as a percentage of loans are:
|
|
|
an increase in Residential Mortgages as a percentage of the total portfolio from 19.5% to 25.7%, i.e. a product sector with a lower level of risk replacing higher risk sectors.
|
|
|
|
a lower level of General Provision required in our GB & NI division based on provision experience and asset quality.
|
|
|
|
some continued uncertainty in the environments in which our divisions operate and the potential loss associated with the USA aircraft lease portfolio (portfolio size 54
million).
|
|
|
|
some improvement in the value of loans classified as Watch grade in Poland.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Years ended December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
2002
|
|
|
2001
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
1999
|
|
|
Provisions charged to income and net loans charged off as a percentage of average loans
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total provisions charged to income
|
|
0.31
|
%
|
|
0.37
|
%
|
|
0.36
|
%
|
|
0.30
|
%
|
|
0.24
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loans charged off
|
|
0.33
|
%
|
|
0.48
|
%
|
|
0.18
|
%
|
|
0.23
|
%
|
|
0.22
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loans charged-off 2003
Group net loans charged-off at 0.33% of average advances
(164 million) for the year to December 2003 compares with 0.48% or 253 million for 2002. The decrease of 89 million is influenced by a number of factors including the following:
Ireland
increased by 2 million since December 2002 and
includes the charge-off of corporate credits in the energy sector of 11 million (which were provided for in 2002).
United Kingdom
increased by 5 million with increases in Capital Markets division partially offset by decreases in Retail operations in
GB and NI. The increase in Capital Markets relates to the charge-off of a corporate credit in the services sector of 18 million (provided for in 2003).
USA
decreased by 57 million due to the divesting of Allfirst.
Poland
decreased by 38 million reflecting a higher level of charge-offs in 2002 associated with changes
in the charge-off process.
72
Net loans charged-off 2002
Group net loans charged-off at 0.48% of average advances or 253 million for the year to December 2002 compares with
0.18% or 88 million for the year to December 2001. The increase of 165 million is influenced by a number of factors including the following:
Ireland
increased by 29 million since December 2001 impacted by the introduction of a new provisioning system in Credit Card Centre
which accounted for 16 million of the increase and the charge-off of a small number of corporate credits in the energy and manufacturing sectors of 8 million.
United Kingdom
increased by 9 million due primarily to the charge-off of two large corporate credits in
the manufacturing sector.
USA
increased by
46 million primarily relating to the charge-off of a telecommunications credit of 40 million and an aircraft lease of 9.7 million.
Poland
increased by 83 million impacted by the introduction of an accelerated write-down policy which resulted in 75 million of
aged non-accrual loans being written in the year to December 2002.
The
following table presents an analysis of AIB Groups loans charged off for the years ended December 31, 2003 and 2002.
Analysis of loans charged off
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Years ended December 31,
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
|
|
Loans
charged off
|
|
Recoveries of
loans
previously
charged off
|
|
Loans
charged
off
|
|
Recoveries of
loans
previously
charged off
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
IRELAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
2.8
|
|
1.8
|
|
0.9
|
|
1.2
|
|
Energy
|
|
10.8
|
|
|
|
4.4
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
3.8
|
|
0.2
|
|
5.1
|
|
0.4
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
2.5
|
|
1.2
|
|
2.1
|
|
0.9
|
|
Distribution
|
|
3.6
|
|
0.6
|
|
3.4
|
|
2.0
|
|
Transport
|
|
1.2
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
0.5
|
|
1.7
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
4.7
|
|
2.9
|
|
2.4
|
|
1.0
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
2.0
|
|
0.7
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
31.0
|
|
4.3
|
|
36.2
|
|
4.2
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
2.7
|
|
0.2
|
|
4.4
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.9
|
|
13.0
|
|
62.2
|
|
12.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED KINGDOM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
0.5
|
|
0.2
|
|
9.4
|
|
1.4
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
0.8
|
|
0.3
|
|
1.6
|
|
0.1
|
|
Distribution
|
|
0.8
|
|
0.2
|
|
2.5
|
|
0.3
|
|
Transport
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
18.4
|
|
0.3
|
|
1.5
|
|
0.1
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
4.6
|
|
0.7
|
|
4.5
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.3
|
|
1.7
|
|
20.8
|
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
|
|
18.9
|
|
1.5
|
|
56.8
|
|
1.9
|
|
Real Estate
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
0.4
|
|
Residential mortgages
|
|
0.3
|
|
|
|
2.1
|
|
1.3
|
|
Retail
|
|
4.1
|
|
1.7
|
|
19.4
|
|
8.0
|
|
Bankcard
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Leases receivable
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.8
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.3
|
|
3.2
|
|
88.7
|
|
11.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POLAND
|
|
68.8
|
|
|
|
106.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REST OF THE WORLD
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
|
|
182.3
|
|
17.9
|
|
279.3
|
|
26.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
The following table presents an analysis of AIB Groups allowance for loan losses at December 31,
2003, 2002 and 2001.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
2001
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
IRELAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
8
|
|
9
|
|
8
|
|
Energy
|
|
12
|
|
24
|
|
9
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
13
|
|
12
|
|
13
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
5
|
|
4
|
|
4
|
|
Distribution
|
|
7
|
|
6
|
|
6
|
|
Transport
|
|
5
|
|
2
|
|
1
|
|
Financial
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
Services
|
|
18
|
|
14
|
|
8
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
4
|
|
5
|
|
4
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
50
|
|
48
|
|
46
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
20
|
|
19
|
|
18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
143
|
|
144
|
|
118
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED KINGDOM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
3
|
|
Energy
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
14
|
|
5
|
|
26
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
3
|
|
4
|
|
4
|
|
Distribution
|
|
8
|
|
3
|
|
4
|
|
Transport
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
|
Financial
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
11
|
|
11
|
|
8
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
7
|
|
6
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49
|
|
40
|
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
13
|
|
Real Estate
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
Residential mortgages
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
5
|
|
Retail
|
|
|
|
11
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29
|
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POLAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
|
|
120
|
|
176
|
|
279
|
|
Personal
|
|
30
|
|
45
|
|
46
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
155
|
|
221
|
|
325
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REST OF THE WORLD
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL SPECIFIC ALLOWANCE
|
|
348
|
|
435
|
|
539
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL GENERAL ALLOWANCE
|
|
316
|
|
427
|
|
470
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL ALLOWANCE
|
|
664
|
|
862
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts include:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to banks
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
Loans and advances to customers
|
|
662
|
|
860
|
|
1,007
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
664
|
|
862
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
Risk elements in lending
AIB Group makes provisions for loan losses in accordance with the method described under Provision and allowance for loan losses. Outside
of the US, its loan control and review procedures generally do not include the classification of loans as non-accrual, accruing past due, restructured and potential problem loans, as defined by the US Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC). Management has, however, set out below the amount of loans, without giving effect to available security and before deduction of provisions, which would have been so classified had the SECs classification been used:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
2001
|
|
2000
|
|
1999
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
Loans accounted for on a non-accrual basis
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
264
|
|
290
|
|
195
|
|
162
|
|
146
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
111
|
|
107
|
|
107
|
|
98
|
|
101
|
|
United States of America
|
|
|
|
104
|
|
85
|
|
85
|
|
44
|
|
Poland
|
|
332
|
|
486
|
|
643
|
|
523
|
|
436
|
|
Rest of the World
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
3
|
|
3
|
|
26
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
707
|
|
990
|
|
1,033
|
|
871
|
|
753
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accruing loans which are contractually past due 90 days or more as to principal or interest
(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ireland
|
|
95
|
|
78
|
|
63
|
|
79
|
|
57
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
18
|
|
9
|
|
18
|
|
19
|
|
27
|
|
United States of America
|
|
|
|
43
|
|
51
|
|
36
|
|
32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
113
|
|
130
|
|
132
|
|
134
|
|
116
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Restructured loans not included above
(3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other real estate and other assets owned
|
|
|
|
26
|
|
14
|
|
30
|
|
29
|
|
(1)
|
Total interest income that would have been recorded during the year ended December 31, 2003
had interest on non-accrual loans been included in income amounted to 36 million - 14 million for Ireland, 4 million for the United Kingdom, 1 million for the United States of America, 17 million for Poland and zero for
rest of the world. Interest on non-accrual loans included in income for the year ended December 31, 2003 totalled 21 million.
|
|
(2)
|
Overdrafts generally have no fixed repayment schedule and consequently are not included in
this category.
|
|
(3)
|
Outside of the United States, AIB Group does not normally renegotiate doubtful loans at
concessionary rates of interest.
|
AIB Group
generally expects that loans where known information about possible credit problems causes management to have serious doubt as to the ability of borrowers to comply with loan repayment terms would be included under its definition of non-performing
and would therefore have been reported in the above table. However, managements best estimate of loans, not included above, that are current as to payment of principal and interest but concerning which AIB Group has serious doubts as to the
ability of the borrower to comply with loan repayment terms, totalled approximately 40 million at December 31, 2003 (114 million at December 31, 2002). The reduction is primarily due to the divesting of Allfirst during 2003.
AIB Groups policy is that, whenever doubt exists, interest is not
taken into income if it may subsequently have to be reversed. Interest is accounted for on a cash received basis and loans are designated as non-accrual, and reported as non-performing, when interest thereon is 90 days or more past due,
except: (i) where there is sufficient evidence that repayment in full, including all interest up to the time of repayment (including costs) will be made within a reasonable and identifiable time period, either from realization of security,
refinancing commitment or other sources; (ii) where there is independent evidence that the balance due, including interest, is adequately secured; or (iii) in certain exceptional cases where there is clear evidence from cash flow projections,
provided such projections have been independently examined to the satisfaction of AIB Group, that payments will be brought up to date within a reasonable period of time not to exceed six months.
Loans where a provision exists in anticipation of a loss are also included in
non-performing loans. For example, in our Poland division, loans that are 30 days overdue require a provision in order to comply with National Bank of Poland regulations or in the case of our consumer portfolios where provisioning is based on
delinquency, e.g. in the case of credit cards when the repayment is greater than 30 days overdue, a provision is required. Therefore as provisions exist on these loans they are included in our non-performing loans.
75
The following table presents an analysis of AIB Groups loans which are accounted for on a
non-accrual basis at December 31, 2003, 2002 and 2001.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
2002
|
|
2001
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
IRELAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
21
|
|
23
|
|
21
|
|
Energy
|
|
25
|
|
62
|
|
14
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
18
|
|
17
|
|
19
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
12
|
|
14
|
|
11
|
|
Distribution
|
|
28
|
|
17
|
|
14
|
|
Transport
|
|
10
|
|
17
|
|
3
|
|
Financial
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
1
|
|
Services
|
|
33
|
|
27
|
|
16
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
19
|
|
18
|
|
18
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
74
|
|
75
|
|
62
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
22
|
|
18
|
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
264
|
|
290
|
|
195
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED KINGDOM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
3
|
|
Energy
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
24
|
|
10
|
|
19
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
9
|
|
16
|
|
13
|
|
Distribution
|
|
23
|
|
18
|
|
24
|
|
Transport
|
|
2
|
|
3
|
|
3
|
|
Financial
|
|
3
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
Services
|
|
32
|
|
24
|
|
30
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
6
|
|
6
|
|
9
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
10
|
|
8
|
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
111
|
|
107
|
|
107
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
|
|
|
|
89
|
|
62
|
|
Real Estate
|
|
|
|
6
|
|
5
|
|
Residential mortgages
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
104
|
|
85
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POLAND
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture
|
|
19
|
|
21
|
|
39
|
|
Energy
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
8
|
|
Manufacturing
|
|
98
|
|
159
|
|
236
|
|
Construction and property
|
|
45
|
|
68
|
|
67
|
|
Distribution
|
|
85
|
|
129
|
|
158
|
|
Transport
|
|
5
|
|
7
|
|
7
|
|
Financial
|
|
5
|
|
13
|
|
38
|
|
Services
|
|
21
|
|
34
|
|
21
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total commercial
|
|
278
|
|
433
|
|
574
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal - Residential mortgages
|
|
18
|
|
16
|
|
8
|
|
- Overdraft/installment
|
|
28
|
|
37
|
|
61
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total personal
|
|
46
|
|
53
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lease financing
|
|
8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
332
|
|
486
|
|
643
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REST OF THE WORLD
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
|
|
707
|
|
990
|
|
1,033
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76
Non-performing loans
Group loans accounted for on a non-accrual basis decreased by 283 million and as a percentage of advances decreased from 1.8% to 1.4% between
December 31, 2002 and December 31, 2003. Net of exchange rate movements the decrease was 188 million influenced by the divesting of Allfirst in Quarter 1 2003 (107 million at December 2002) and a significant reduction in non-performing
loans in Poland.
In the Republic of Ireland, loans accounted
for on a non-accrual basis decreased by 26 million during the year to December 31, 2003 and have reduced as a percentage of advances from 1.0% at December 2002 to 0.8%. The decrease relates primarily to Capital Markets division where a number
of corporate cases were settled/charged-off partially offset by an increase in ROI division.
In the United Kingdom, loans accounted for on a non-accrual basis increased by 4 million to 111 million for the year to December 31, 2003 spread across a number of sectors.
In the United States, there are no non-accrual loans following the divesting
of Allfirst.
In Poland, the decrease of 154 million
(84 million net of currency exchange rate movements) in loans accounted for on a non-accrual basis in the year to December 31, 2003 has been assisted by charge-offs and a reduction in the rate of gross new non-performing loans. Non-accrual
loans have reduced as a percentage of advances from 14.8% at December 31, 2002 to 10.9% at December 31, 2003.
The classification of a loan as non-accrual does not necessarily indicate that the principal amount of the loan is uncollectible in whole or in part. As
described above under Provision and allowance for loan losses, the provision made in respect of any particular loan is calculated net of any realizable security value and other identifiable repayment sources, while the full principal
amount of the loan is reflected as non-accrual before any deduction for provisions, security values or other elements of loans that may be partially recoverable.
The allowance for loan losses as a percentage of non-accrual loans increased to 94% as at December 31, 2003, from 87% (or
80% excluding Allfirst) as at December 31, 2002. This increase was primarily due to reduced levels in non-performing loans and the additional 5 million unallocated provision raised at Group level.
In accordance with AIB Groups provisioning policy for loan losses, it
is considered that appropriate provisions for the above losses have been made. See Provision and allowance for loan losses on page 71.
Cross-border outstandings
Cross-border outstandings, which exclude finance provided within AIB Group, are based on the country of domicile of the borrower and comprise placings
with banks and money at call and short notice, loans to customers, finance lease receivables and installment credit, acceptances and other monetary assets, including non-local currency claims of overseas offices on local residents. AIB Group
monitors geographic breakdown based on the country of the borrower and the guarantor of ultimate risk.
Cross-border outstandings exceeding 1% of total assets are shown in the following table.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As %
of total
assets
(1)
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Banks and
other
financial
institutions
|
|
Government
and official
institutions
|
|
Commercial
industrial
and other
private
sector
|
|
|
|
(Euro in millions)
|
|
December 31, 2003
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
6.1
|
%
|
|
4,962
|
|
1,852
|
|
548
|
|
2,562
|
|
United States
|
|
3.6
|
%
|
|
2,896
|
|
342
|
|
686
|
|
1,868
|
|
Germany
|
|
2.6
|
%
|
|
2,122
|
|
1,466
|
|
488
|
|
168
|
|
Spain
|
|
1.7
|
%
|
|
1,356
|
|
352
|
|
255
|
|
749
|
|
Netherlands
|
|
1.6
|
%
|
|
1,298
|
|
556
|
|
87
|
|
655
|
|
Italy
|
|
1.4
|
%
|
|
1,136
|
|
158
|
|
691
|
|
287
|
|
Poland
|
|
1.3
|
%
|
|
1,035
|
|
61
|
|
87
|
|
887
|
|
Australia
|
|
1.1
|
%
|
|
854
|
|
346
|
|
|
|
508
|
|
December 31, 2002
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
6.4
|
%
|
|
5,461
|
|
2,026
|
|
618
|
|
2,817
|
|
United States
|
|
3.9
|
%
|
|
3,332
|
|
680
|
|
516
|
|
2,136
|
|
Germany
|
|
1.9
|
%
|
|
1,609
|
|
1,255
|
|
114
|
|
240
|
|
Italy
|
|
1.6
|
%
|
|
1,398
|
|
173
|
|
995
|
|
230
|
|
Poland
|
|
1.4
|
%
|
|
1,179
|
|
160
|
|
91
|
|
928
|
|
Spain
|
|
1.0
|
%
|
|
895
|
|
75
|
|
299
|
|
521
|
|
Netherlands
|
|
1.0
|
%
|
|
856
|
|
348
|
|
65
|
|
443
|
|
December 31, 2001
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom
|
|
6.4
|
%
|
|
5,748
|
|
2,243
|
|
268
|
|
3,237
|
|
United States
|
|
2.9
|
%
|
|
2,570
|
|
250
|
|
568
|
|
1,752
|
|
Germany
|
|
2.7
|
%
|
|
2,443
|
|
1,881
|
|
323
|
|
239
|
|
Italy
|
|
1.6
|
%
|
|
1,419
|
|
464
|
|
731
|
|
224
|
|
Netherlands
|
|
1.1
|
%
|
|
1,002
|
|
346
|
|
104
|
|
552
|
|
Poland
|
|
1.1
|
%
|
|
952
|
|
295
|
|
89
|
|
568
|
|
(1)
|
Assets, consisting of total assets as reported in the consolidated balance sheet and
acceptances, totalled 80,972 million at December 31, 2003 (2002: 85,893 million; 2001: 89,203 million).
|
At December 31, 2003 cross-border outstandings to borrowers in France amounted to 0.98%. At December 31, 2002 cross-border outstandings to borrowings in
Australia and France amounted to 0.85% and 0.70% respectively.
77
Concentrations of credit risk
Concentrations of credit risk exist when changes in economic, industry or geographic factors similarly affect groups of
counterparties whose aggregate credit exposure is material in relation to AIB Groups total credit exposure. Although AIB Groups portfolio of financial instruments is broadly diversified along industry, product and geographic lines,
material transactions are completed with other financial institutions, particularly in securities trading, derivative, and foreign exchange business.